TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 8:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Banfield and CA Belgrano, scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Banfield" if CA Banfield score more goals than CA Belgrano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Banfield and CA Belgrano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Belgrano" if CA Belgrano score more goals than CA Banfield in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Banfield and CA Belgrano, scheduled for August 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Banfield" if CA Banfield score more goals than CA Belgrano in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Banfield and CA Belgrano score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Belgrano" if CA Belgrano score more goals than CA Banfield in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust continuously based on real-time trading activity, often showing sharper movements than sportsbook odds, which may incorporate additional factors like broker margins or broader public betting patterns. The difference can be especially noticeable as the match approaches, with this market reacting quickly to new information, injuries, or tactical changes. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value gaps, keeping in mind that prediction market odds represent a decentralized consensus, while sportsbooks may smooth volatility for broader appeal.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, where participants buy and sell contracts based on their outlook for the second-half outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate expectations of all market participants, with the chance percentage indicating the implied probability as set by recent trades and liquidity in each outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final second-half result will be compared against the event’s official records to determine which contracts are settled as winning or losing.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 10, 2026. Injuries to star players, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions may alter expectations for the second half. Recent form and head-to-head statistics often influence trader sentiment in the days leading up to the event. Media reports and expert analysis can also create momentum swings, especially if new information emerges about team strategies or player fitness. As the match timer counts down, any in-game developments — like early own goals or yellow cards — are likely to have an outsized impact on pricing dynamics.