TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 3:50 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Aldosivi and Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Aldosivi and Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata, scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates real-money positions from traders who profit by accurately forecasting the exact score, potentially offering a crowd-sourced alternative perspective to fixed sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on trader activity and order flow. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each exact score outcome, and the price of each share reflects the crowd's estimated probability. As more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its price rises and others fall, creating a dynamic equilibrium. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and trader conviction about the final result.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regulation time. No adjustments are made for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the competition format specifies otherwise. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score outcome receive their payout once the result is confirmed and the market settles.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter scoreline probabilities in this market. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates may trigger repricing as match day approaches. Additionally, any official postponement or fixture rescheduling would extend the market's timeline. Traders monitor all these factors to adjust their positions, so watch for announcements from both clubs and the league in the days leading up to kickoff.