TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored exclusively in the fourth quarter of a college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that must be achieved by both teams combined during that final period.
The event evaluates multiple scoring thresholds for points accumulated in the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) of the specified college football game. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score of both teams exceeds its defined threshold. All markets share consistent secondary rules: only points from the fourth quarter count, and if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, resolution is based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The thresholds range incrementally from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of fourth-quarter scoring potential.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies arise, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. However, as the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds, as more information becomes available and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the BYU vs Colorado State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter were over or under 12.5, based on the official game results. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will receive 0.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either BYU or Colorado State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could play a role. Even public perception and betting trends in sportsbooks can indirectly influence trading activity in this market, as traders react to the broader information landscape.