TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored in that period. It allows participants to speculate on the momentum and performance of BYU or Colorado State in the last quarter of play.
The event evaluates various point differentials by which BYU or Colorado State could win the fourth quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026, excluding overtime. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory—ranging from narrow wins of over 2.5 points to dominant victories of over 10.5 points—in the fourth quarter alone. All markets consider only points scored during that quarter, disregarding earlier periods or overtime scenarios. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, the markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges exclusively on the fourth-quarter performance of each team, making it a test of late-game strategy and execution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts in both venues. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the 4th quarter of the BYU vs Colorado State game will be used to determine whether BYU wins by more than 2.5 points, or if Colorado State covers the spread. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected performance from either team during the earlier parts of the game could also lead to significant price movements. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the game can also play a role, as they influence the overall perception of each team’s chances. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market for the BYU vs Colorado State spread.