TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either BYU or Colorado State in the second half of their upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team during the second half, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half of play, including any overtime periods. For BYU-related markets, if BYU wins the second half by more than the specified point margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For Colorado State-related markets, if Colorado State wins the second half by more than the specified point margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis more rapidly than traditional bookmakers. These differences can stem from varying levels of expertise and the motivations of those placing bets in each venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the possible outcomes of the BYU-Colorado State spread. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to new information and refine their predictions, creating a real-time assessment of the likely result. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive price discovery process.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the BYU versus Colorado State football game will determine whether Colorado State wins by more than 4.5 points, triggering payout to those who purchased 'yes' contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the BYU or Colorado State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team morale, coaching decisions, or unexpected lineup changes could all contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts in this market. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role.