TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 50
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Above 50 - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Rotten Tomatoes score reflects aggregated critic reviews for a film, indicating overall reception. Higher scores suggest stronger approval from critics, while lower scores imply mixed or negative feedback. These markets assess whether the film will achieve various levels of critical acclaim by a specific date.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for 'By Any Means' as evaluated on September 7, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a specific threshold: if the score exceeds the stated value (e.g., above 45, above 50, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The determination occurs the Monday following the film's wide release. Notably, a score equal to the threshold does not result in a Yes outcome—for resolution, the score must strictly surpass the specified level. All references to Rotten Tomatoes are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with the platform.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market reflects a broader, crowd-driven assessment of audience reception. While analysts may weigh technical aspects or early reviews, traders in this market incorporate real-time sentiment, social media trends, and buzz to set odds. This often results in sharper, more volatile pricing as public opinion shifts rapidly.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader bids and asks to determine its current implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects collective trader expectations about the final Rotten Tomatoes score outcome. Volume of $160,253 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $14,649 indicates current activity levels. Traders adjust positions based on news, poll updates, and analyst insights that could shift expectations for the final score.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the verified Rotten Tomatoes score is reported from credible public sources. The final number used will match the platform’s defined calculation method, closing all positions based on that official result.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves on Sep 7, 2026. Early reviews, trailer reactions, and audience polling may shift expectations about the final Rotten Tomatoes score. Major announcements from the production team, changes to the release strategy, or unexpected events covering the film could also impact pricing. As the release date approaches, real-time audience scores and critic embargo lifts will likely cause the most significant movements in this market.
