TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
7-8m
- Polymarket
7-8m - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 8, 6:40 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to how much "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a blend of expert opinion and crowd intuition. While analysts may issue detailed projections based on pre-release data, this market incorporates real-time trader sentiment and can react faster to breaking news, social media trends, or early screening buzz. The gap between the two can widen if unexpected events occur, such as cast scandals or last-minute marketing pushes.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The closing box office numbers for the opening weekend will be compared against the market’s listed options, and the correct result will be settled automatically based on publicly available data from trusted entertainment industry sources.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key catalysts include early reviews, audience score leaks, star endorsements or controversies, pre-release marketing campaigns, and competitor releases that might split or concentrate box office demand. Any major change in expectations — positive or negative — can cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their positions based on new developments.
