TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of Over/Under 0.5 goals being scored in the BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga match. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome occurring is 100.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Predict, and will resolve based on official statistics published on bundesliga.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the final score – and thus market resolution – will be determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on September 12, 2026.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 12 at 9:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 12 at 9:30 AM ET.
Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can differ, leading to temporary price discrepancies. Different information may also be weighted differently by traders on each platform, resulting in varying probabilities. While both platforms track the same underlying event, these individual characteristics contribute to the observed price differences, providing opportunities for arbitrage.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Dortmund or Paderborn could shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also influence the outcome and, consequently, the market price. Furthermore, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Predict could drive price movements as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.