TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 - Exact Score
polymarket
kalshi
predict

What is the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Paderborn?

Volume:
$206,945

Dortmund wins by more than 1.5 goals

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 11:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Dortmund wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$97,639
N/A
N/A
$52,282
Settled
Yes
predict

DOR 2 - 0 SCP

11%
Yes 10.9¢No 89.1¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 0 SC Paderborn 07

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dortmund wins by more than 2.5 goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$50,817
N/A
N/A
$23,790
Settled
Yes
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07

100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,488
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

DOR 3 - 0 SCP

99%
89%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 3 - 3 SCP

100%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢
—
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 3 SC Paderborn 07

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 0 - 3 SCP

100%
Yes 99.6¢No 0.4¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 3 SC Paderborn 07

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 1 - 0 SCP

99%
Yes 98.9¢No 1.1¢
—
$299
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 0 SC Paderborn 07

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Any Other Score

34%
7%
Yes 33.9¢No 66.1¢
—
N/A
$145
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Other Score

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 2 - 1 SCP

10%
Yes 10.4¢No 89.6¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 SC Paderborn 07

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 3 - 1 SCP

10%
Yes 9.9¢No 90.1¢
—
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 1 SC Paderborn 07

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,646
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 1 - 1 SCP

7%
Yes 7¢No 93¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 SC Paderborn 07

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 3 - 2 SCP

5%
Yes 4.8¢No 95.2¢
—
$200
$889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 2 SC Paderborn 07

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 2 - 2 SCP

3%
Yes 3.2¢No 96.8¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DOR 0 - 0 SCP

3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This prediction market asks for the exact final score of a Bundesliga soccer match between Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A specific 'Any Other Score' outcome exists to cover scores not explicitly listed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets focus on goal difference thresholds, while Polymarket and Predict offer markets for specific exact scores. This represents a fundamental difference in the prediction task.Hero tip: Do not directly compare probabilities between Kalshi and Polymarket/Predict, as they are answering different questions. Focus on the specific question being asked on each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets for all possible exact scores, resolving to 'Any Other Score' if the actual score isn't listed. Uses official statistics as the primary source, with Flashscore/Sofascore as fallbacks.
  • Kalshi: Markets are based on goal difference thresholds (e.g., Dortmund winning by >2.5 goals). Does not offer markets for specific exact scores. Focuses solely on win margins.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

This event includes four markets for the Dortmund vs Paderborn Bundesliga game on September 12, 2026. Markets resolve if Dortmund wins by more than 2.5 goals, or more than 1.5 goals. Alternatively, if Paderborn wins by more than 1.5 goals, or more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The outcome is assessed after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not considering extra time or penalty decisions. Kalshi emphasizes its lack of official association with the Governing League, and all brand names and logos remain property of their respective entities.

Predict

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates predictions on the exact score of the Dortmund vs Paderborn match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Predict. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $206,945, with $195,488 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the likely outcome, though differing opinions exist between venues. Polymarket currently favors an exact score of 0-0 with a chance of 98%, while Predict has not yet established a clear leading prediction. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the market, allowing traders to compare probabilities and volume across different platforms.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, creating a demand-based pricing mechanism. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. The implied probabilities from this market may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to variations in information access, analytical approaches, and the influence of market participants.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for the Dortmund vs Paderborn match on Polymarket and Predict can vary due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the exact score of this match.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dortmund or Paderborn would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could influence the predicted scoreline. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis or expert opinions released to the public could also move the market as traders incorporate new information into their predictions.