TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market asks for the exact final score of a Bundesliga soccer match between Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A specific 'Any Other Score' outcome exists to cover scores not explicitly listed.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This event includes four markets for the Dortmund vs Paderborn Bundesliga game on September 12, 2026. Markets resolve if Dortmund wins by more than 2.5 goals, or more than 1.5 goals. Alternatively, if Paderborn wins by more than 1.5 goals, or more than 2.5 goals, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The outcome is assessed after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not considering extra time or penalty decisions. Kalshi emphasizes its lack of official association with the Governing League, and all brand names and logos remain property of their respective entities.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07 match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, creating a demand-based pricing mechanism. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. The implied probabilities from this market may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to variations in information access, analytical approaches, and the influence of market participants.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for the Dortmund vs Paderborn match on Polymarket and Predict can vary due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities for the exact score of this match.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dortmund or Paderborn would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could influence the predicted scoreline. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis or expert opinions released to the public could also move the market as traders incorporate new information into their predictions.