TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and FC Bayern München scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under total goals, and both-teams-to-score prop, all resolving on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms use identical resolution timing (90 minutes plus stoppage time), the same official source (bundesliga.com), and consistent handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga final score published on bundesliga.comCore resolution logic:
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) resolves to Dortmund if they win by 2+ goals; otherwise Bayern
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5) resolves to Dortmund if they win by 3+ goals; otherwise Bayern
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) resolves to Bayern if they win by 2+ goals; otherwise Dortmund
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) resolves to Bayern if they win by 3+ goals; otherwise Dortmund
- Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2; Under if < 2
- Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3; Under if < 3
- Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4; Under if < 4
- Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5; Under if < 5
- Both Teams to Score: Yes if both teams score >= 1 goal each; No if either team scores 0
- Kalshi binary markets: Yes if the specified margin condition is met (Bayern by 2.5+, Dortmund by 2.5+, Bayern by 1.5+, or Dortmund by 1.5+); No otherwise
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. Resolution occurs once the official final score is published.
- Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled.
- Game Started But Not Completed: Markets resolve according to the official final score published by Bundesliga at the time of abandonment or official conclusion.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution is based only on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the official final score is published on bundesliga.com following the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 28, 2026.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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