This event group covers a Bundesliga match between BV Borussia 09 Dortmund and FC Augsburg scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference official Bundesliga statistics as primary resolution source, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics (bundesliga.com) as recognized by the governing body; credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined by goals scored in 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Dortmund win resolves Yes if Dortmund score exceeds Augsburg score
Augsburg win resolves Yes if Augsburg score exceeds Dortmund score
Draw resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals
Total goals markets (Kalshi) resolve Yes if combined goals exceed specified threshold (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5)
Extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from all resolutions
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and official statistics are published.
Match Cancellation with No Makeup: Polymarket match outcome markets (Dortmund win, Augsburg win) resolve No. Polymarket draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi total goals markets would logically resolve No as no match occurred.
Official Statistics Delay: If Bundesliga does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Extra Time or Penalties: If match goes to extra time or penalties, only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time score counts; any goals in extra time or penalties are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after match completion and official Bundesliga statistics publication, or within 2 hours of match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed. Markets remain open if match is postponed until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.