A college basketball game between Butler Bulldogs and Georgetown Hoyas scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET at Georgetown. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Georgetown win and Butler win outcomes are marked to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market until the logical error is corrected. Use Polymarket moneyline as the reliable resolution source. Spread and over/under markets on both platforms are consistent and safe to trade.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Georgetown wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Butler wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible and creates an unresolvable market.
Polymarket:
Moneyline market correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If Butler wins, resolves to Butler Bulldogs' and 'If Georgetown wins, resolves to Georgetown Hoyas'. Game postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
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