TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 8:04 AM EST
Kalshi
Another set of professional soccer teams will face off in a match, with the winner determined only by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
If Busan wins the Busan vs Gimhae professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Gimhae wins the Busan vs Gimhae professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Busan vs Gimhae professional Korea K-League 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more efficient and less influenced by biases than traditional sportsbook lines. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions based on their own analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own assessments of the event. This dynamic process leads to price discovery, where the market price converges towards a fair representation of the underlying probability. The more volume traded, the more confidence we can have in the accuracy of the price.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Busan vs Gimhae match, as determined by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could impact the event and its final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding team rosters, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching staff would likely impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or venue changes could also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and public polls, while not directly reflected in the market price, can influence trader behavior. Major upsets in related matches or broader trends in team performance could also contribute to shifts in the market, as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.