TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many goals will be scored during the regulation time of a soccer match between Bury and Wythenshawe Amateurs FC. The outcome depends on whether the total goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during the regulation time of the Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs FC professional FA Cup soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026. Regulation time includes the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any extra time periods or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, allowing for multiple resolutions depending on the final goal count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set prices based on their own assessments of probability. This can lead to differences, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. If a large number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price on Kalshi will reflect that increased demand. It’s often useful to compare the implied probabilities to see where discrepancies lie.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at various price points – indicates how easily large trades can be executed without significantly impacting the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in regulation time (excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts) in the Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs FC match will determine whether the over or under contracts pay out. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to settle this market. Traders will be able to see the final result and their payout status shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the Bury vs Wythenshawe goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause price adjustments, as this impacts the expected goal-scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game's dynamics and influence trading activity. Unexpected team formations or tactical changes announced before the match could also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift prices.