TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 9:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers markets on the Bury FC vs. Wythenshawe FC match scheduled for September 5, 2026, in the FA Cup. Markets include predicting the winner, whether the game will end in a draw, and win margins exceeding specific goal thresholds.
This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Bury FC and Wythenshawe FC.
The event evaluates various goal-difference thresholds to determine the outcome of the Bury vs Wythenshawe Amateurs FC professional FA Cup soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct criteria are applied: Bury winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bury winning by more than 1.5 goals, Wythenshawe Amateurs FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Wythenshawe Amateurs FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each criterion specifies a different level of victory margin required for the market to resolve positively (Yes). The resolution hinges solely on the final score at the end of regulation time, with no consideration for extended play or penalty shootouts. Additionally, it is clarified that the platform hosting these markets is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market design. Polymarket has a different community of traders than Kalshi, leading to potentially different interpretations of available information. Furthermore, the specific contracts offered on each platform – such as the focus on a draw on Polymarket versus Wythenshawe winning by a margin on Kalshi – attract different types of traders and influence price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.