TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Burnley and Derby, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Different thresholds define whether the market resolves positively for each potential outcome.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Burnley vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, with resolution based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct primary rules define specific victory margins for each team: Burnley winning by more than 2.5 goals, Burnley winning by more than 1.5 goals, Derby winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Derby winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions being met will resolve the relevant market to 'Yes.' The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, public biases, or the influence of large bettors. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Burnley vs Derby match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by news, injuries, and other factors affecting the perceived likelihood of each team winning by a certain margin. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Burnley vs Derby match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing sports authority. The market will determine which spread outcome was correct, based on the actual goal difference between the two teams at the end of the match. All outstanding contracts will then be settled accordingly.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Sep 19, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Burnley or Derby would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding tactical changes or managerial decisions might also move the market. Finally, any significant public information regarding team morale or off-field issues could affect predictions about the Burnley vs Derby match.