TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$31,188
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Burnley FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (Burnley win, Manchester City win, or draw), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely — the market is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the actual halftime result. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three binary markets (Manchester City leading, Burnley leading, Draw) are mutually exclusive and one will resolve YES while the other two resolve NO.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three resolution conditions resolve to YES: 'If Burnley is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes. If Manchester City is the winner...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market always resolves YES regardless of the actual halftime outcome.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Manchester City leading resolves YES only if Manchester City wins the first half; Draw resolves YES only if the halftime score is tied; Burnley leading resolves YES only if Burnley wins the first half. Exactly one market will resolve YES and the other two will resolve NO. Primary resolution source is official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as fallback if statistics are not published within 24 hours.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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