TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC?

Volume:
$308,130

Burgos

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 4:33 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Burgos

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$94,798
N/A
N/A
$49,747
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Burgos CF

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ceuta

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,239
N/A
N/A
$50,596
Settled
No
polymarket

AD Ceuta FC

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,838
N/A
N/A
$22,528
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a La Liga 2 soccer match between Burgos CF and AD Ceuta FC scheduled for September 11, 2026. Markets exist for Burgos CF winning, AD Ceuta FC winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellations by resolving win/loss markets to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision and relies on the game being played.Hero tip: Be aware of the cancellation risk in Polymarket markets. If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, avoid taking positions on win/loss outcomes on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the win/loss markets resolve to 'No'. Uses a tiered source hierarchy (official stats, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided; resolution depends on the game being played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 between Burgos CF and AD Ceuta FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Burgos vs Ceuta professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for September 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Burgos win, Ceuta win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, whereas prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may incorporate expert analysis, this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued probabilities. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market are due to a number of factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $306,687 in the last 24 hours – impacts how efficiently prices reflect information. Differences in the types of traders participating on each platform, and their individual risk tolerances, also contribute to price divergence. These factors lead to distinct probabilities being expressed for the Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC match.