TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Bunschoten: Matteo Martineau vs Gerard Campana Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Bunschoten: Matteo Martineau vs Gerard Campana Lee Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 14, 2026
Closed: Jul 21, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Gerard Campana Lee in the Bunschoten, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Gerard Campana Lee. This market will resolve to 'Gerard Campana Lee' if Gerard Campana Lee advances against Matteo Martineau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Gerard Campana Lee in the Bunschoten, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Gerard Campana Lee. This market will resolve to 'Gerard Campana Lee' if Gerard Campana Lee advances against Matteo Martineau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from major sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or closer to the event date. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket sees value relative to conventional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares representing each outcome trade continuously, and the current price of a winning share reflects the crowd's aggregate belief in that result. As traders deposit capital and place bets, the price adjusts instantly, creating a transparent and efficient price discovery mechanism that updates throughout the day.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual result of the boxing match, verified against established sports news sources and official records. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and expectations shift the probability of each outcome.
Several factors could shift odds before the fight takes place: fighter training updates, injury announcements, or changes in public perception of either competitor's form. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting patterns from sportsbooks may also influence trader sentiment on this market. Weigh-in results, last-minute withdrawals, or venue changes would likely trigger sharp price movements. Monitor sports news outlets and social media for developments that could reshape expectations around the match outcome.