TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Bulls vs. Grizzlies
Volume:
$8,157,609
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 28 at 8:00PM ET: If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to YES for any outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Bulls win, Grizzlies win, or tie/cancellation scenarios) with proper resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely—it contains a logical contradiction that guarantees YES resolution regardless of game outcome, rendering it unresolvable. All player prop and spread markets on Polymarket are properly structured and resolvable; use those for reliable settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline states 'If Chicago wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Memphis wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger YES. This violates basic market structure and makes the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket correctly defines mutually exclusive outcomes—'If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to Bulls' and 'If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to Grizzlies'—with a tie/cancellation fallback to 50-50. All 57 additional Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props, halftime markets) follow consistent, resolvable logic based on official NBA box scores.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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