TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between Bulgaria and Ukraine in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria wins the match. It will resolve to "Ukraine" if Ukraine wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Bulgaria and Ukraine in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria wins the match. It will resolve to "Ukraine" if Ukraine wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves and public perception. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, you may find that prediction market odds diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true probabilities involved in the Bulgaria vs. Ukraine match. This difference can be particularly noticeable when there's significant public interest or debate surrounding the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand; traders who believe an outcome is more likely will bid up the price of shares representing that outcome, while those who believe it's less likely will sell.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bulgaria vs. Ukraine match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a transparent and verifiable result for this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, broader geopolitical events or major upsets in related matches could indirectly affect the market. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations in this market.