TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Bulgaria and Luxembourg, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria score more goals than Luxembourg in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bulgaria and Luxembourg score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Luxembourg" if Luxembourg score more goals than Bulgaria in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Bulgaria and Luxembourg, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria score more goals than Luxembourg in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Bulgaria and Luxembourg score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Luxembourg" if Luxembourg score more goals than Bulgaria in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there's considerable uncertainty. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on which team—Bulgaria or Luxembourg—wins the second half of the football match. Official match results from recognized sporting authorities will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are officially declared.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions during the match, or even significant momentum swings during the first half, could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price fluctuations in the Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg second half.