TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?

Volume:
$460,844

O/U 2.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 4:06 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38,793
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,294
N/A
N/A
$17,478
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,033
N/A
N/A
$7,589
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,556
N/A
N/A
$14,749
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,783
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luxembourg O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score in First Half

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luxembourg O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bulgaria O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$149,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,623
N/A
N/A
$27,518
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,993
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,728
N/A
N/A
$2,391
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,064
N/A
N/A
$7,928
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,758
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 67

Description

This group contains markets related to the Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg UEFA Nations League soccer game. Markets cover various aspects like the spread, over/under goals, and whether both teams will score, both in the full match and in the first half. These markets allow users to predict specific outcomes of the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive resolution rules including handling of postponements/cancellations and fallback data sources, while Kalshi focuses solely on the total goals scored within the standard 90+ stoppage time.Hero tip: Consider the potential for discrepancies in resolution due to differing rules for handling game interruptions and data source prioritization. Polymarket's more detailed rules may offer greater clarity in edge cases.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official final score (90 mins + stoppage time) from uefa.com, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore) and specific handling for postponed/canceled games. Includes a 24-hour data availability window.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. No mention of fallback sources or handling of game interruptions beyond a simple 'if over X goals'.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the Bulgaria vs Luxembourg UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 26, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5—after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from the count. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and resolution depends strictly on the final goal count within the defined timeframe. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $460,844, with $445,458 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential outcomes, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. While Polymarket currently favors Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 3.5 at 98%, Kalshi leans toward Will over 1.5 goals be scored?. This dashboard provides a convenient way to monitor these differing perspectives.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets rely on the collective judgment of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available here, and their odds reflect different risk assessments. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes for the Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, liquidity, and fee structure, influencing trading behavior. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform may focus on different aspects of the Bulgaria vs. Luxembourg match, attracting different types of traders. For example, Polymarket currently favors Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 3.5 at 98%, while Kalshi leans toward Will over 1.5 goals be scored?. These variations in market design and trader composition contribute to the observed price differences.