TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 4:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between Bulgaria and Israel in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 14 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria wins the match. It will resolve to "Israel" if Israel wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between Bulgaria and Israel in the European Championship, originally scheduled for September 14 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bulgaria" if Bulgaria wins the match. It will resolve to "Israel" if Israel wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official CEV results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react slower to new data than the dynamic trading within this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Bulgaria vs. Israel match. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for a share representing a particular result.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Bulgaria vs. Israel match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will then verify the result against these sources, and payouts will be distributed to traders holding shares in the winning outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources as the event nears to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bulgaria or Israel would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even broader political events impacting travel or participation, could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to Sep 21, 2026 is crucial for understanding potential market movements.