TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in a specific quarter of a college football game between Buffalo and Penn State. It highlights the importance of short-term performance over the full game outcome, offering insight into potential momentum shifts within a single quarter.
If Penn St. wins the 2nd quarter of the Buffalo vs Penn St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Buffalo wins the 2nd quarter of the Buffalo vs Penn St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Buffalo vs Penn St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders, as the market price may more accurately reflect the true probability of each team winning the second quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches, reflecting collective insight.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the Buffalo vs Penn State game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports news source, will determine the final settlement. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Buffalo or Penn State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts, and even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, can all contribute to movements in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.