TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks offensive performance in a football game between two teams, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. Outcomes are determined by the total yards each team gains during the match, with various benchmarks set for both teams.
The event evaluates whether Buffalo or Houston achieves specified total offensive yardage thresholds in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct yardage benchmark (ranging from 275 to 450 yards) for either team. If the designated team meets or exceeds its respective threshold, the associated market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time, results are based on the final official score; if not, markets resolve to a fair price. The markets operate independently, allowing for multiple 'Yes' outcomes if both teams surpass their individual thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on their predictions, and the market aggregates these individual beliefs into a collective forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more buyers there are for a particular outcome, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for both the Buffalo and Houston teams will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether those totals exceed the predetermined thresholds offered in the contracts. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data to determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to view the official results and confirm their payouts following the event’s completion.
Several factors could significantly impact the prices in this market. Key injuries to starting quarterbacks or running backs on either team would likely cause substantial shifts, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on player availability or performance during practice sessions could lead to price adjustments. The closer we get to the game, the more sensitive this market will be to new information and evolving expectations surrounding the Buffalo and Houston matchup.