TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend on whether each team reaches certain thresholds of such tackles during the match.
These markets resolve based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Sacks are counted only when a quarterback is tackled behind the line of scrimmage during a regular play; sacks during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Buffalo or Houston, with resolution dependent on whether the respective team meets or exceeds that threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets represent probabilities, not necessarily the 'true' odds, and can be influenced by factors beyond simple win probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and its implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, indicating the strength of support for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market continually adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Buffalo versus Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded by each team will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the official results reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified. The market will then close, and any outstanding contracts will be settled according to the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key offensive linemen on either team would be significant, as they directly impact the ability of quarterbacks to avoid sacks. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or rain, could also affect passing games and potentially increase sack numbers. Unexpected coaching changes or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, any news regarding the performance of each team’s pass rushers in recent practices or games could shift trader sentiment and move the market.