TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting how many times specific players will carry the ball during an upcoming football game. Outcomes depend on the actual number of rushing attempts each player makes during the contest, with different thresholds defining various market resolutions.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing attempts recorded by specified players in the Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. For each market, if the named player achieves the stated minimum number of rushing attempts (e.g., 11+, 12+, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance metrics.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small group of experts, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Depending on public perception and information available, this market's implied probabilities may align with, or diverge from, those offered by sportsbooks. It's worth comparing the two to see where the discrepancies lie and form your own informed opinion on the likely outcome of the game and the total rushing attempts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, making it a valuable indicator of potential game flow and team strategies.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing attempt totals for both the Buffalo and Houston teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of rushing attempts, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning contract in this market. The resolution will be based on the official game data and will be finalized shortly after the conclusion of the game, ensuring accuracy and transparency in determining the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries to running backs or offensive linemen on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is expected, could also impact the predicted rushing totals. Late-breaking reports about coaching strategies or anticipated game plans could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.