TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions specific players achieve in an upcoming football game, offering various thresholds for each player. The outcome depends entirely on the game's statistics, with settlements based on official play records.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records the stated number of receptions or more in the Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome for the respective player. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Therefore, you may observe differences between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. These discrepancies can arise from differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific reception total occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations for the Buffalo vs Houston game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals from the Buffalo vs Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official statistics reported by the league, reflecting the total number of receptions made by players from both teams during the game. The precise determination of the winning contract will depend on which reception total is closest to the official result, as defined by Kalshi’s market rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Buffalo or Houston teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, reception totals. Furthermore, any adjustments to team play-calling or defensive schemes could shift expectations and move the market. Unexpected performance from a previously underutilized player could also be a catalyst for price movement.