TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing completions achieved by specific quarterbacks in a football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether the players will meet or exceed certain completion thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by the specified quarterback during the Buffalo vs Houston Professional Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the named quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for both C.J. Stroud and Josh Allen, each with varying threshold values for completion counts.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that this market’s probabilities differ from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing analyses of team strengths, quarterback performance, or even weather conditions impacting the passing game. It's a valuable exercise to compare the two and consider the reasoning behind any differences.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific completion range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the expected passing performance between Buffalo and Houston.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of passing completions achieved by both the Buffalo and Houston teams during the game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game data released by the league, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts that could impact the passing game. Unexpected reports about team strategies or adjustments to offensive playcalling could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks, or even prominent analyst predictions, might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the Buffalo vs Houston passing market.