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Buffalo vs Houston: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Buffalo vs Houston?

Volume:
$724,945

David Montgomery

 - Kalshi

David Montgomery - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 1:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

David Montgomery

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,148
N/A
N/A
$33,002
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brevin Jordan

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
100¢
N/A
$86,067
N/A
N/A
$86,062
Settled
No
kalshi

Skyler Bell

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
100¢
N/A
$7,536
N/A
N/A
$7,536
Settled
No
kalshi

HOU Texans D/ST

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$267,446
N/A
N/A
$267,192
Settled
No
kalshi

James Cook III

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,639
N/A
N/A
$69,363
Settled
No
kalshi

Keon Coleman

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,338
N/A
N/A
$39,902
Settled
No
kalshi

DJ Moore

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,276
N/A
N/A
$34,354
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Kincaid

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,559
N/A
N/A
$28,060
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Collins

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,337
N/A
N/A
$25,422
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,428
N/A
N/A
$24,515
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Schultz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,847
N/A
N/A
$14,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Hawes

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,637
N/A
N/A
$14,637
Settled
No
kalshi

Dawson Knox

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,256
N/A
N/A
$12,151
Settled
No
kalshi

Kayshon Boutte

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,329
N/A
N/A
$9,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylin Noel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,886
N/A
N/A
$9,855
Settled
No
kalshi

C.J. Stroud

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,738
N/A
N/A
$9,551
Settled
No
kalshi

Woody Marks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,767
N/A
N/A
$5,483
Settled
No
kalshi

Khalil Shakir

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,301
N/A
N/A
$4,952
Settled
No
kalshi

Xavier Hutchinson

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,728
N/A
N/A
$3,478
Settled
No
kalshi

Cade Stover

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,530
N/A
N/A
$3,530
Settled
No
kalshi

Marlin Klein

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,297
N/A
N/A
$3,297
Settled
No
kalshi

Joshua Palmer

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,676
N/A
N/A
$2,676
Settled
No
kalshi

BUF Bills D/ST

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,117
N/A
N/A
$2,105
Settled
No
kalshi

Ray Davis

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,371
N/A
N/A
$1,321
Settled
No
kalshi

Foster Moreau

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$690
N/A
N/A
$690
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks which player will score the first touchdown in the Buffalo versus Houston professional football game. Currently, Joshua Palmer: 1st Touchdown is trading at 35.0%, closely followed by Ray Davis: 1st Touchdown at 34.0% on Kalshi. The market will resolve based on whether Dalton Kincaid scores the first touchdown in the game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on team injury reports leading up to the game on September 13, 2026, as player availability could significantly impact probabilities.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified player scores the first touchdown of the game. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome depends solely on whether that player scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the entire game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all individual player markets automatically resolve to 'No.' These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets for the event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current price of each potential player to score the first touchdown, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $698,239. You can also view historical price movements to understand how the market has reacted to news and information. Currently, the total volume for this market is $724,945. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how the probabilities are shifting as the game approaches. It’s a central hub for following the dynamics of this specific market.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often leading to more accurate probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster in response to breaking news, particularly regarding player injuries. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, with this market often converging towards a more refined probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that player scoring first. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the latest information and the collective beliefs of all participants trading on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, following the conclusion of the Buffalo vs. Houston game. The outcome will be determined by which player officially scores the first touchdown, as verified against credible public reporting from official game sources. The official game statistics will be used to confirm the result. Any touchdowns scored during overtime will be considered for resolution. The market will settle to 100 for the player who scores the first touchdown, and 0 for all other players listed in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would have a substantial impact, shifting probabilities towards other potential touchdown scorers. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a run-heavy or pass-heavy offense, could also move the market. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting lines from sportsbooks can also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team strategy or player matchups could lead to significant shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.