TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored in a college football game between Buffalo and Florida International University. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total points scored by both teams combined in the Buffalo vs Florida International college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each threshold, ranging from over 29.5 points to over 71.5 points, will resolve to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds the specified amount. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they have engaged with.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, aims to represent the true probability of different outcomes, though discrepancies can and do occur. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing risk appetites, and the incentive structures inherent in each type of venue. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect probabilities as event time approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Buffalo vs Florida International game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that specific point total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, indicating potential support and resistance levels.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point total of the Buffalo vs Florida International game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the governing athletic body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual final point total will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for different totals will not. It’s important to monitor official sources as the game progresses to understand how the market is likely to settle.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Buffalo or Florida International would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, as the game draws closer, any significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could impact the price of contracts in this market.