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OPEN INTEREST:

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406,065

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MATCHED EVENTS:

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Kalshi:

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Buffalo vs Florida International: Spread
kalshi
predict

What is the result of Buffalo vs Florida International?

Volume:
$893,519

Florida International wins by over 9.5 points

 - Kalshi

Florida International wins by over 9.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 9:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 9.5 points

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$174,790
N/A
N/A
$166,922
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 10.5 points

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$107,065
N/A
N/A
$95,320
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 11.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,493
N/A
N/A
$14,787
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,379
N/A
N/A
$15,861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,212
N/A
N/A
$9,654
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,019
N/A
N/A
$6,458
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,799
N/A
N/A
$9,375
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 5.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,960
N/A
N/A
$4,161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,088
N/A
N/A
$5,970
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
$461
Settled
Yes
predict

Buffalo vs. Florida International

3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 21.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115,655
N/A
N/A
$85,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 20.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,343
N/A
N/A
$74,787
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 16.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,235
N/A
N/A
$22,812
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 23.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,871
N/A
N/A
$36,814
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 13.5 points

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,329
N/A
N/A
$30,867
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 17.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,477
N/A
N/A
$14,255
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 24.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,690
N/A
N/A
$29,832
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 14.5 points

0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,602
N/A
N/A
$20,390
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 27.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,212
N/A
N/A
$17,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,712
N/A
N/A
$4,707
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 1.5 points

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,131
N/A
N/A
$1,923
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 30.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,721
N/A
N/A
$1,680
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,456
N/A
N/A
$1,451
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida International wins by over 33.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,273
N/A
N/A
$1,273
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the college football game between Buffalo and Florida International. Currently, the consensus probability of Buffalo winning is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Kalshi and Predict, and will resolve based on which team wins the game as determined by the September 12th match result, including any overtime played. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until completion; cancellation results in a 50-50 split resolution. Keep an eye on the game’s kickoff at 6:00PM ET on September 12th to see how the contest unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The predict market resolves to the winner of the game, while the Kalshi markets resolve based on the margin of victory, creating a divergence in scope and resolution value.Hero tip: Focus on the point spread and potential blowout scenarios when trading Kalshi markets. The predict market is a simpler bet on the outright winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolves to the winning team (Buffalo or Florida International). Overtime included. Tie resolves 50-50. Cancellation resolves 50-50. "This market will resolve to 'Buffalo' if Buffalo win the game. This market will resolve to 'Florida International' if Florida International win the game."
  • kalshi: Consists of 31 separate markets, each resolving to 'Yes' if either Florida International or Buffalo wins by a specific point margin (ranging from 1.5 to 30.5 points). "If Florida International wins by more than 30.5 points...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Buffalo vs Florida International college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a specific point threshold; if Florida International wins by exceeding the threshold, the corresponding 'Florida International wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes, while all others resolve to No. Conversely, if Buffalo wins by exceeding its threshold, the relevant 'Buffalo wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. If neither team meets their respective thresholds, all markets resolve to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring impartiality regarding unforeseen disruptions.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Buffalo and Florida International, scheduled for September 12 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the game. This market will resolve to "Florida International" if Florida International win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks the spread for the Buffalo versus Florida International football game. Currently, the aggregated view shows a volume of $893,519 across both platforms, with Kalshi showing a slightly different price than Predict. This allows traders to see a consensus view of the expected point difference in the game, as well as understand where differing opinions lie. The spread represents how many points Buffalo is favored to win or lose by against Florida International, and the dashboard visualizes how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly disagrees with the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for continuous price discovery as new information emerges, whereas sportsbook odds are typically adjusted less frequently. This market provides a real-time view of expectations, potentially revealing insights not captured by conventional betting lines.

Prices for the Buffalo vs Florida International spread may differ between Kalshi and Predict due to a number of factors. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with potentially different insights and risk tolerances, leading to varying demand for different outcomes. Trading volume can also play a role—higher volume on one platform might indicate stronger conviction in a particular spread. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for price discovery, such as order types and market-making algorithms, can vary between Kalshi and Predict, contributing to price discrepancies.