TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the college football game between Buffalo and Florida International. Currently, the consensus probability of Buffalo winning is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Kalshi and Predict, and will resolve based on which team wins the game as determined by the September 12th match result, including any overtime played. If the game is postponed, the market will remain open until completion; cancellation results in a 50-50 split resolution. Keep an eye on the game’s kickoff at 6:00PM ET on September 12th to see how the contest unfolds.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential of the Buffalo vs Florida International college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a specific point threshold; if Florida International wins by exceeding the threshold, the corresponding 'Florida International wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes, while all others resolve to No. Conversely, if Buffalo wins by exceeding its threshold, the relevant 'Buffalo wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. If neither team meets their respective thresholds, all markets resolve to No. For games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring impartiality regarding unforeseen disruptions.
In the upcoming college football game between Buffalo and Florida International, scheduled for September 12 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the game. This market will resolve to "Florida International" if Florida International win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly disagrees with the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for continuous price discovery as new information emerges, whereas sportsbook odds are typically adjusted less frequently. This market provides a real-time view of expectations, potentially revealing insights not captured by conventional betting lines.
Prices for the Buffalo vs Florida International spread may differ between Kalshi and Predict due to a number of factors. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base with potentially different insights and risk tolerances, leading to varying demand for different outcomes. Trading volume can also play a role—higher volume on one platform might indicate stronger conviction in a particular spread. Additionally, the specific mechanisms for price discovery, such as order types and market-making algorithms, can vary between Kalshi and Predict, contributing to price discrepancies.