TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 4:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Buffalo or Cleveland specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets determine whether Buffalo or Cleveland wins the third quarter of their Pro Football game by exceeding specific point differentials. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either team to win the quarter. The outcome is based solely on points scored during the third quarter, with no consideration given to the overall game result or any other quarter's performance. All markets operate independently, meaning each resolves based on its own specific criteria without influence from the others. The official game must proceed as scheduled for these markets to be valid; any cancellations or alterations would void them.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $9,554, allowing for rapid shifts in perception. Sportsbook odds incorporate broader factors like public betting trends and house margins, often lagging behind the immediate trader-driven movements seen here. While both aim to predict outcomes, the prediction market offers a more direct barometer of informed trader consensus, especially for niche angles like the 3rd quarter Buffalo-Cleveland spread market. The difference can be notable, particularly when major news or injury updates emerge close to the game.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics for the third quarter point differential, ensuring an objective and transparent closing process for all participants on Kalshi.
Several key signals could impact this market before Aug 22, 2026. Injuries to key offensive or defensive players for either team might shift trader expectations about 3rd quarter performance. Quarterback changes, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, or strategic coaching decisions could also influence odds. Mid-game momentum swings during the first half may lead to rapid adjustments in trading as participants reassess probabilities. Any last-minute roster updates or disciplinary actions announced by the teams will likely create volatility. Traders will be watching pre-game media sessions and official depth charts for clues about starting lineups and game plans.