TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Los Angeles Rams will win their professional football game against the Buffalo Bills, scheduled for October 12, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Los Angeles R a win probability of 89.0%, while Buffalo winning is priced at 12.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the game, as determined by the outcome of the BUF Bills vs LA Rams Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026. Keep an eye on the game’s final score on October 13, 2026, as this date represents the estimated resolution date for the market and will confirm the official winner.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the professional football game between the BUF Bills and LA Rams scheduled for October 12, 2026. If Los Angeles wins, the Los Angeles market resolves to Yes, and the Buffalo market resolves to No, and vice versa if Buffalo wins. If the game ends in a tie, both markets resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open until the game concludes. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty created by the cancellation or significant delay of the event.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price of that outcome will fall, indicating higher probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the potential outcomes of the Bills-Rams game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the game’s likely result. Buying a contract is essentially making a bet that the corresponding outcome will happen, while selling a contract is betting against it.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Bills-Rams game, as officially recorded by sports authorities. The market will determine which outcome contract pays out based on the official game results. The exact timing of the resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are released and verified, but it will occur shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bills or the Rams would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather forecasts for the game location. Unexpected coaching decisions or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also impact trader sentiment. Major news stories related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. As the game approaches, even seemingly minor updates can lead to price fluctuations as traders react to new information.