TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether the combined scoring in the second quarter of a specific football game will exceed various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring quarters in the matchup.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific threshold, and if the actual points scored exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds range from just over 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points, offering varying levels of difficulty. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately. The official game date and teams are fixed, and all markets are subject to the same underlying game outcome but differ only in their scoring thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often providing a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into the potential value of each market, but remember that both represent probabilities of the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price can fluctuate significantly based on news, injuries, or other factors influencing perceptions of the game’s potential scoring. Traders are constantly evaluating and adjusting their positions, creating a dynamic pricing environment.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Bills-Texans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders who correctly predicted the total points scored will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game closely as the 2nd quarter progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Bills or the Texans would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect passing or kicking games, could also move the market. In-game events during the 1st quarter, such as a quick scoring drive or a defensive turnover, could also influence trader sentiment and adjust the probabilities. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts could also play a role in how this market evolves before it resolves.