TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 4:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Matias Franco Descotte in the Buenos Aires 2, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 11:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Matias Franco Descotte. This market will resolve to 'Matias Franco Descotte' if Matias Franco Descotte advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Matias Franco Descotte in the Buenos Aires 2, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 11:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Matias Franco Descotte. This market will resolve to 'Matias Franco Descotte' if Matias Franco Descotte advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Buenos Aires tennis match, the prediction market odds may move in the opposite direction. It's useful to compare the two to identify potential discrepancies and inform your own analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Buenos Aires tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Buenos Aires tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Matias Franco Descotte, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result. The final outcome will be determined by the official scoreline.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players' strategies or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway opinions and move the odds.