TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 12:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Martinez and Nicolas Kicker in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Martinez' if Tomas Martinez advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Tomas Martinez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Martinez and Nicolas Kicker in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Martinez' if Tomas Martinez advances against Nicolas Kicker. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Kicker' if Nicolas Kicker advances against Tomas Martinez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and does not incorporate external factors beyond the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Tomas Martinez and Nicolas Kicker as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even general shifts in public perception, could also drive price movements. Major upsets in similar tournaments, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could all contribute to changes in the market’s price as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.