TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 12:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Cigarran and Tomas Martinez in the Buenos Aires 2, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Tomas Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Martinez' if Tomas Martinez advances against Thiago Cigarran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Cigarran and Tomas Martinez in the Buenos Aires 2, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Cigarran' if Thiago Cigarran advances against Tomas Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Martinez' if Tomas Martinez advances against Thiago Cigarran. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume traded in this market is $100,940, indicating the level of engagement from the prediction community.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the Buenos Aires boxing match. The winning boxer, as determined by the official scorecard or knockout, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Public analysis from boxing experts, shifts in betting activity at sportsbooks, and even social media buzz surrounding the fighters could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s venue or rules could also impact the market, as traders reassess the probabilities of each outcome.