TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Alex Barrena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Alex Barrena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and volume increases, the price converges towards a more accurate representation of the collective forecast. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share that pays out if the predicted outcome is verified. This dynamic pricing system allows for efficient discovery of information and a constantly updated assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Joaquin Aguilar and Alex Barrena. The platform will verify the result against established sports news sources and official boxing records to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and shares will be paid out according to the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either fighter, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about training strategies or changes in coaching staff might also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity—a large influx of volume on one side—could also cause the price to fluctuate as traders react to the changing sentiment.