TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena
polymarket

What is the result of Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena?

Volume:
$249,657

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 5:54 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Match O/U 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Match O/U 22.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
polymarket

Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena Game Spread +/-3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 25m
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Alex Barrena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Alex Barrena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money wagering and the insights of individual participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing interpretations of data, or simply the influence of public perception. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and volume increases, the price converges towards a more accurate representation of the collective forecast. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share that pays out if the predicted outcome is verified. This dynamic pricing system allows for efficient discovery of information and a constantly updated assessment of the event’s likelihood.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Joaquin Aguilar and Alex Barrena. The platform will verify the result against established sports news sources and official boxing records to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and shares will be paid out according to the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either fighter, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in public perception, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about training strategies or changes in coaching staff might also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity—a large influx of volume on one side—could also cause the price to fluctuate as traders react to the changing sentiment.