TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Tomas Farjat in the Buenos Aires 2, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Fernandez' if Bruno Fernandez advances against Tomas Farjat. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Bruno Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bruno Fernandez and Tomas Farjat in the Buenos Aires 2, Argentina, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bruno Fernandez' if Bruno Fernandez advances against Tomas Farjat. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Farjat' if Tomas Farjat advances against Bruno Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks incorporate a vigorish (a built-in profit margin), this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders and can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential injuries, or even subtle strategic advantages. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, potentially highlighting opportunities for informed betting on either side of this match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match's potential result. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the fair chance of a specific player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Buenos Aires 2 match between Bruno Fernandez and Tomas Farjat. The platform will verify the winner against established tennis results databases and reporting from reputable sports news outlets. The final price of shares in this market will then reflect the actual outcome of the match, allowing traders to realize their gains or losses.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding player injuries or changes in playing conditions would be major catalysts. Any updates on the players’ recent performance, training regimens, or strategic adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the tournament itself, such as weather delays or rule changes, might also influence the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player's chances of winning has the potential to move the odds in this market.