TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Bucheon and Daejeon Citizen, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes for the Bucheon vs Daejeon Citizen professional Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct winning margins are assessed: Bucheon winning by more than 2.5 goals, Bucheon winning by more than 1.5 goals, Daejeon Citizen winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Daejeon Citizen winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions, if met, will resolve the event positively for the corresponding market. The governing rules explicitly state that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Bucheon vs Daejeon match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the specified outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread result of the Bucheon vs Daejeon match, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final price of the contracts at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team form, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. Major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or social media, might also impact trading activity. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team covering the spread has the potential to move this market.