TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a K League 1 professional soccer match between Bucheon FC 1995 and Ulsan HD FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Bucheon win, Ulsan HD win, or draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation clause (resolves YES if game canceled with no makeup), while Kalshi presents draw as a standard outcome category without addressing the cancellation scenario. This creates asymmetric payoff risk if the match is canceled.Hero Tip:
Traders should assume Kalshi's draw market may resolve ambiguously or require manual intervention in a cancellation scenario. Polymarket draw traders have clarity: cancellation = YES. For Bucheon and Ulsan HD win markets, both platforms are logically consistent and resolve NO on cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Ulsan HD win (YES if Ulsan wins, NO otherwise), Bucheon win (YES if Bucheon wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Explicit rule: if game canceled with no makeup, draw market resolves YES; win markets resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (for win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (for draw market).Kalshi:
Three outcome categories presented as mutually exclusive: Bucheon wins, Tie wins, or Ulsan HD wins. All three resolve to YES if their condition is met. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Bucheon wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Ulsan HD wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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