Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official outcome of the Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC match on April 25, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official K League statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (kleague.com); if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
Polymarket Market 1 resolves YES if Bucheon FC 1995 wins in regular play; NO otherwise.
Polymarket Market 2 resolves YES if Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins in regular play; NO otherwise.
Polymarket Market 3 resolves YES if the match ends in a draw; NO otherwise.
Kalshi Markets 1, 2, and 3 collectively cover all three outcomes (Gimcheon win, Tie, Bucheon win) and each resolves YES if its specified outcome occurs.
Exactly one market per platform will resolve YES; the other(s) will resolve NO.
All markets refer only to the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until completion.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket Markets 1 and 2 resolve NO, and Polymarket Market 3 resolves YES; Kalshi markets would not resolve under this scenario as the event would not occur.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a later date.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: On Polymarket, if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Markets 1 and 2 (Bucheon win, Gimcheon win) resolve NO, and Market 3 (draw) resolves YES. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario.
Resolution Source Hierarchy: Primary source is official K League statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the match result by K League or event organizers, or within 2 hours post-match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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