TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 345M
- Kalshi
Above 345M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 20, 2026
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks BTS's worldwide streaming performance during the week of July 10-16, 2026. Streaming data is collected from major platforms and published by Luminate Data, typically within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by BTS's total worldwide streams during the July 10-16, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution to Yes if the artist exceeds that threshold. Data publication typically occurs within approximately 48 hours following the end of the tracking period.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders who have direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. Unlike traditional analyst reports, which may carry publication bias or lag behind emerging data, this market aggregates live information and adjusts continuously as new signals arrive. Comparing odds here to published forecasts can reveal where professional analysts and market participants diverge—often highlighting underappreciated catalysts or overlooked risks in streaming performance expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different streaming outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract's price reflects the collective belief in that outcome's probability, with spreads tightening as volume increases and more participants trade. Prices update in real time, allowing traders to enter positions at competitive rates and exit whenever liquidity permits.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution process verifies the actual streaming data and compares it to the market's prediction thresholds. Once the event is finalized and independently verifiable, all positions settle according to the confirmed result, and traders receive payouts based on whether their predictions were correct.
Major announcements about BTS releases, tour dates, or streaming platform algorithm changes can shift market odds significantly. Fan engagement trends, social media momentum, and competing entertainment releases all influence weekly streaming volume. Additionally, any unexpected news regarding the group's activities or changes in listener behavior across regions may trigger rapid repricing. Traders monitor these catalysts closely to identify mispriced outcomes and adjust positions accordingly.
