TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 365M
- Kalshi
Above 365M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Closed: Jul 11, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks BTS's worldwide streaming performance during the week of July 3-9, 2026. Streaming data is compiled by Luminate Data, LLC and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by BTS's total worldwide streams during the July 03 - July 09, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution occurring when the artist's streams exceed the designated level. Data publication occurs approximately 48 hours after the tracking week concludes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-time trader conviction rather than relying on periodic published estimates. In this market, traders continuously update prices based on streaming data, chart performance, and fan engagement signals that analysts may lag in incorporating. While analysts typically publish weekly or monthly reports, this venue allows participants to price in breaking news and intraweek momentum shifts, sometimes revealing consensus that differs meaningfully from established forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers on specific stream-count outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders compete to set the clearing price, and the market probability reflects the weighted consensus of all open positions. As new streaming data becomes available or market sentiment shifts, prices adjust dynamically to balance supply and demand, ensuring that the odds remain responsive to real-world developments.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, at which point the final weekly stream count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual streaming figures reported for the specified week, confirmed once the data becomes publicly available and verifiable. Traders holding positions aligned with the true outcome receive payouts, while those on the incorrect side incur losses.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market, including surprise music releases, viral social media moments, or major concert announcements that drive listener engagement. Chart debuts, playlist placements on major streaming platforms, and collaborations with high-profile artists can also trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, real-time streaming data releases, fan activity spikes, and competitive releases from other artists all serve as signals that traders monitor closely to adjust their positions before the weekly count finalizes.
