TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Brusque FC SC and AA Internacional Limeira SP. The markets consider goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
In the upcoming match between Brusque FC SC and AA Internacional Limeira SP, scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brusque FC SC" if Brusque FC SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AA Internacional Limeira SP" if AA Internacional Limeira SP are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The event covers three possible outcomes of the Brusque vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie C soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026: a win for Brusque, a win for Internacional, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its corresponding outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms of price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd, where prices are determined by traders buying and selling contracts. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, particularly when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds can be more readily available and may offer different types of wagers not found in this market.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structures, influencing price discovery. Differences in liquidity – the amount of volume traded – can also cause discrepancies. Furthermore, the platforms may attract different types of traders, with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Currently, Polymarket currently favors neither team to score first at 98%, while Kalshi leans toward Brusque FC SC at n/a%. These differences highlight the independent nature of price formation on each platform.