TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event tracks weekly attendance figures for Broadway performances in New York City, providing a snapshot of public interest and participation in live theater during a specific week. It reflects real-world data from an industry-standard source, allowing participants to assess performance trends and audience engagement over time.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the total number of individual admissions to Broadway performances in New York City during the week ending October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific attendance threshold, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the reported weekly total exceeds that threshold. Attendance is defined as the 'Total Attendance' figure published under Weekly Totals on The Broadway League's Grosses - Broadway in NYC page for the specified week. This figure represents the aggregate count of all admissions across all Broadway performances in New York City during that week, with each admission counted separately regardless of whether the same individual attends multiple shows. The relevant metric is strictly the weekly total attendance, not season-to-date figures, gross revenue, or capacity percentages. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with The Broadway League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for Broadway attendance. However, generally, prediction markets can offer a different perspective than traditional polls or expert opinions. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially incorporating a wider range of data and factors than a single analyst might consider. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and analyst forecasts can sometimes signal overlooked information or differing interpretations of available data.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final attendance figures for Broadway shows during the week ending October 25, 2026, will be sourced from official industry reports and verified against credible public sources. The market will settle to the total attendance number, and contracts will pay out based on whether the actual attendance falls within the range predicted by the contract purchased. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their payouts shortly after the official figures are released.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major Broadway show openings or closings, shifts in tourism trends to New York City, and broader economic conditions all have the potential to influence attendance. Unexpected events, such as weather disruptions or public health concerns, could also play a role. Positive or negative reviews of new shows, celebrity appearances, and marketing campaigns could also move the market. Any news that alters expectations about the overall demand for Broadway tickets could lead to price fluctuations in this market.
