TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether either team secures a victory by a margin exceeding specified goal differences. The results are determined exclusively by the final score after the standard match duration, not including extra time or penalties.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential should either team win the match. The match in question is the Bristol City vs Watford EFL Championship game scheduled for September 18, 2026, and only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts—extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded. The first two markets concern Bristol City: one resolves to Yes if they win by more than 2.5 goals, and the other if they win by more than 1.5 goals. The latter two markets concern Watford: one resolves to Yes if they win by more than 1.5 goals, and the other if they win by more than 2.5 goals. Kalshi emphasizes it holds no official connection to the league governing body, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing viewpoints on the likely result of the Bristol City vs Watford match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread of the Bristol City vs Watford match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements. The current price represents the market’s expectation of the spread, and the volume indicates the level of interest in this particular outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Bristol City vs Watford match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority, and the market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the contract price at resolution. Traders holding contracts will receive a payout based on the final outcome, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bristol City or Watford would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or significant public discussion about the teams’ prospects, could also contribute to movement in this market.