TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 3:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine if either Bristol City or Walsall wins the first half of the match by a margin greater than 1.5 goals. Only goals scored in the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time count, and the outcome is based solely on the half-time score.
These markets assess whether Bristol City wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals or whether Walsall wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. The evaluation is based exclusively on the score at the end of the first half, which includes the first 45 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Goals scored in the second half, extra time, or penalty shootouts do not affect the outcome. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the rules. The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the first half by the required margin; otherwise, it resolves to No.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible point differentials. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders for each outcome, with liquidity indicated by $198 volume. Price fluctuations happen as new information about team performance, injuries, or weather conditions influences trader behavior, allowing the market to self-adjust in the run-up to Aug 6, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official match statistics for the first half point differential, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Injuries to key players, weather updates affecting match conditions, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift expectations for the first-half point spread, moving this market. Pre-match analyses, news reports on team form, and live in-game momentum during early minutes also influence trader sentiment. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of a larger or smaller margin will be reflected in rapidly updating odds before the match concludes on Aug 6, 2026.